Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Geopolitics→Closes: 6 monthsLiquidity: $172.4K24h Vol: $11.3M

7.1¢

YES

92.8¢

87.0¢

Spread

conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)

24h sample:467 trades1% YES99% NO

🏆 Biggest bet:NO$29.2K@ 96¢·tsybka

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO

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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.climax

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.

1h$80

6h$715

24h$3.2K

VWAP vs Price

VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price — the true average price weighted by how much money traded at each level. Current price above VWAP = overbought vs recent activity. Below = trading at a discount.

Current7.1¢

VWAP 24h94.9¢▼ discount

VWAP 7d95.4¢

Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢

$144.3K

90¢

$870

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

65¢