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US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?

Geopolitics→Closes: 2 daysLiquidity: $237.7K24h Vol: $179.8K
5.5¢
YES
94.5¢
NO
93.7¢
Spread
conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)
24h sample:2 trades100% 🐋0% YES100% NO
🏆 Biggest bet:NO$41.8K@ 95¢·0x293e…7674

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO
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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.climax

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.
1h+$0
6h$64.3K
24h$64.3K

VWAP vs Price

VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price — the true average price weighted by how much money traded at each level. Current price above VWAP = overbought vs recent activity. Below = trading at a discount.
Current5.5¢
VWAP 24h94.5¢▼ discount
VWAP 7d94.5¢
Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢
$0
90¢
$64.3K
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
← now
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 90¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Accumulation

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Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now
NO$41.8K@ 94.9¢0x293e…7674🐋-8.7%about 5 hours ago
NO$22.5K@ 93.6¢0x3a8a…7699🐋+13.9%about 6 hours ago

Related Markets · Geopolitics

US forces enter Iran by April 30?
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US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
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Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
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Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
8.0¢$32.9M3
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?
99.9¢$28.7M0
💡 Smart Wallets · 7d
No smart wallet activity