PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Geopolitics→Settlement: NOLiquidity: $1.2MOfficial 24h Vol: —
0.1¢
YES payout
99.9¢
NO payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome NO. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-06-30 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: Not supplied by the market

Resolution wording is unavailable. Treat this as missing decision evidence.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
98.1¢$690.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
20.5¢$433.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
0.1¢$421.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
98.7¢$399.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
92.5¢$279.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
77.5¢$182.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
33.8¢$117.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
40.0¢$116.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.