US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Geopolitics→Closes: 25 daysLiquidity: $878.3K24h Vol: $12.7M

47.5¢

YES

52.5¢

99.9¢

Spread

conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)

🏆 Biggest bet:YES$99.9K@ 100¢·0x3670…34f9

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO

Loading orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.disputed

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.

1h+$0

6h+$0

24h+$0

Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

Loading…

Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢

$312.5K

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

65¢

60¢