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Dolphins vs. Commanders

Sports→Settlement: CommandersLiquidity: $196.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $127.6KEvent: Dolphins vs. Commanders
0.0¢
Dolphins payout
100.0¢
Commanders payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCommanders$13.8K@ 37¢·wr0ngw4yb3tt0r

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Commanders. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-14 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If Dolphins wins, the market will resolve to "Dolphins".

•If Commanders wins, the market will resolve to "Commanders".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 14 at 7:00PM ET: If Dolphins wins, the market will resolve to "Dolphins". If Commanders wins, the market will resolve to "Commanders". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 22d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Commanders@ 38.0¢22d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Dolphins; negative values favor Commanders. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDolphins · $102
6hDolphins · $5.6K
24hCommanders · $18.5K

Dolphins price VWAP

Volume-weighted Dolphins price. Commanders fills are converted to the complementary Dolphins probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h58.3¢▼ below by 58.3pp
VWAP 7d58.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Dolphins price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$3
75¢
$11
70¢
$4.5K
65¢
$0
60¢
$27.0K
55¢
$24
50¢
$0
45¢
$2.1K
40¢
$0
35¢
$18
30¢
$0
25¢
$2
20¢
$0
15¢
$1.2K
10¢
$34
5¢
$305
0¢
← now
$1.8K

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCommanders$13.8K@ 37.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—22 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.