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Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians

● quote 17s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $243.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $344.7KEvent: Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians
99.9¢
Detroit Tigers
0.6¢
Cleveland Guardians
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets44Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:82 trades$165.2K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 48%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 20 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Cleveland Guardians · $14.7K net·7 wallets(1🐋)·$33.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCleveland Guardians$67.5K@ 60¢·0x5e94…5ba1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Detroit Tigers pressure: $5.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$5.5K
6h
−$53.2K
tracked
$165.2K

7 verified profitable wallets: Cleveland Guardians · $14.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 77% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +40.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 20 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 40.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Detroit Tigers or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-12 22:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for September 5 at 6:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Cleveland Guardians@ 60.0¢3h ago
15m INVALIDATED -14.0pp1h INVALIDATED -32.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Cleveland Guardians@ 60.0¢6h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Cleveland Guardians@ 59.0¢7h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h INVALIDATED -58.4pp
Latest book event: Detroit Tigers UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $13.9K → $55 · 99s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Detroit Tigers; negative values favor Cleveland Guardians. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDetroit Tigers · $5.5K
6hCleveland Guardians · $53.2K
24hCleveland Guardians · $82.1K

Detroit Tigers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Detroit Tigers price. Cleveland Guardians fills are converted to the complementary Detroit Tigers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h48.5¢▲ above by 51.4pp
VWAP 7d48.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Detroit Tigers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$5.9K
90¢
$51
85¢
$3.4K
80¢
$227
75¢
$2.1K
70¢
$5.7K
65¢
$15.6K
60¢
$1.8K
55¢
$721
50¢
$9.4K
45¢
$26
40¢
$120.2K
35¢
$137
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCleveland Guardians$19.2K@ 60.0¢
paquitomillonario0x04e6…3914
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYCleveland Guardians$67.5K@ 60.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYCleveland Guardians$29.5K@ 59.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 10 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x5e94…5ba1Cleveland Guardians$67.5K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·1 fill
SDTradingCleveland Guardians$29.5K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·1 fill
paquitomillonarioCleveland Guardians$19.2K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.