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Ravens vs. Vikings

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $217.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $131.7KEvent: Ravens vs. Vikings
49.5¢
YES
50.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection41Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority72Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 89%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:46 trades$75.5K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 57%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $2.4K·2 wallets·$2.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYRavens (YES)$20.3K@ 51¢·0x3dfb…abaf

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW YES SETUP
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$31.2K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$31.2K
6h
+$56.3K
tracked
$75.5K

2 verified profitable wallets: −$2.4K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 89% · priority 72

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-22 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 22 at 1:00PM ET: If Ravens wins, the market will resolve to "Ravens". If Vikings wins, the market will resolve to "Vikings". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $329 → $1.2K · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$31.2K
6h+$56.3K
24h+$56.3K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current49.5¢
VWAP 24h45.8¢▲ above by 3.7pp
VWAP 7d45.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$1.0K
55¢
$5.9K
50¢
$24.7K
45¢
← now
$6.5K
40¢
$11.5K
35¢
$25.8K
30¢
$7
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYRavens (YES)$20.3K@ 51.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—13 minutes ago
BUYRavens (YES)$15.5K@ 39.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x3dfb…abafRavens$43.1K
BUY VWAP 47.9¢·6 fills
wr0ngw4yb3tt0rRavens$18.5K
BUY VWAP 40.1¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.