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Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner

● quote 19s ago
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $837.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.8MEvent: Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection23Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets64Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:319 trades$769.4K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 54s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$31.3K·5 wallets(1🐋)·$49.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Spirit (NO)$140.6K@ 57¢·111111111115

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$178.4K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$178.4K
6h
−$222.6K
tracked
$769.4K

5 verified profitable wallets: +$31.3K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +11.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 11.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-22 19:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket semifinal match between BoomBoys and Team Spirit in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "BoomBoys" if BoomBoys win Game 2 against Team Spirit. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 2 against BoomBoys. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 22, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x2c33…05633 linked markets · $1.1M gross
fkcvffcjt2 linked markets · $75.0K gross
iii2523 linked markets · $66.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY NO26m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY NO@ 89.0¢32m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Team Spirit35m ago
Outcome checks pending
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY BoomBoys@ 40.0¢38m ago
15m INVALIDATED -39.8pp
Latest book event: NO UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $913 → $2.1K · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$178.4K
6h−$222.6K
24h−$222.6K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h33.8¢▼ below by 33.8pp
VWAP 7d33.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$43.3K
45¢
$100.3K
40¢
$358.0K
35¢
$57.5K
30¢
$8.2K
25¢
$9.6K
20¢
$14.3K
15¢
$6.5K
10¢
$11.5K
5¢
$20.1K
0¢
← now
$140.0K

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLTeam Spirit (NO)$11.1K@ 99.9¢
Miaoracle0x818b…c5eb
🐋—8 minutes ago
SELLTeam Spirit (NO)$19.3K@ 99.9¢
mamo4ka0xe760…f2f9
🐋—12 minutes ago
SELLTeam Spirit (NO)$15.1K@ 99.9¢
iii2520xed44…4f76
🐋—15 minutes ago
SELLTeam Spirit (NO)$17.3K@ 99.9¢
nftdoom0x4c9c…e006
🐋—15 minutes ago
BUYTeam Spirit (NO)$140.6K@ 56.6¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Spirit (NO)$16.8K@ 56.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Spirit (NO)$72.8K@ 56.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBoomBoys (YES)$11.8K@ 45.0¢0xf201…527e🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBoomBoys (YES)$11.3K@ 45.0¢0xf201…527e🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Spirit (NO)$10.0K@ 56.0¢0xe16d…5e30🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Spirit (NO)$20.0K@ 61.0¢0xe16d…5e30🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Spirit (NO)$10.0K@ 61.0¢0xe16d…5e30🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Spirit (NO)$10.0K@ 63.4¢0xe16d…5e30🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

111111111115Team Spirit$236.4K
BUY VWAP 56.3¢·4 fills
0xe16d…5e30Team Spirit$53.0K
BUY VWAP 60.4¢·5 fills
0xf201…527eBoomBoys$23.0K
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·2 fills
HdisllbsjBoomBoys$18.0K
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·2 fills
0x19fb…bd68Team Spirit$12.3K
BUY VWAP 83.3¢·7 fills
0xaaed…44f8Team Spirit$12.0K
BUY VWAP 59.8¢·6 fills
0x2c33…0563BoomBoys$10.4K
BUY VWAP 42.2¢·3 fills
mamo4kaTeam Spirit$10.1K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.