LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner

● quote 14 min ago

Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $1.2MOfficial 24h Vol: $1.3MEvent: LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

0.1¢

YES

100.0¢

0.1¢

Spread

anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection34Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 64%💡 1 smartVerified directional wallets: positive measured PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:175 trades$68.1K trackedsource coverage 5%BUY/SELL known 96%

tape 35 min agoofficial metadata 18 min ago

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBilibili Gaming (NO)$9.9K@ 99¢·0x4ef4…e76b

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE

What the tape says

NO pressure: −$22.5K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

−$22.5K

−$20.3K

tracked

$68.1K

1 verified profitable wallet: −$18 YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?

0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 64% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +32.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
•Executable quote is 14 minutes old.
•Observed tape is 35 minutes old.
•Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

resolving

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-07-24 18:15 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between EDward Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for July 24 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win Game 2 against Bilibili Gaming. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win Game 2 against EDward Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

0xc69b…20764 linked markets · $19.6K gross

0x4ef4…e76b2 linked markets · $10.2K gross

0x1e8c…64522 linked markets · $8.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY NO35m ago

Outcome checks pending

MARKET SWEEPBUY NO@ 68.0¢1h ago

15m CONFIRMED +23.0pp

Latest book event: NO UP 5.5pp · near-book depth $477 → $298 · 2s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1h−$22.5K

6h−$20.3K

24h−$20.3K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current0.1¢

VWAP 24h18.5¢▼ below by 18.5pp

VWAP 7d18.5¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

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65¢

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55¢