LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

● quote 6 min ago
SportsCloses: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $1.1MOfficial 24h Vol: $1.1MEvent: LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
100.0¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection17Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%
24h sample:164 trades$48.2K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 4%BUY/SELL known 89%
tape 32 min agoofficial metadata 7 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBilibili Gaming (NO)$20.0K@ 75¢·0x5bc6…eff4

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$7.3K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$7.3K
6h
−$21.2K
tracked
$48.2K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 6 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 32 minutes old.
  • Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-07-24 18:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between EDward Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for July 24 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win Game 1 against Bilibili Gaming. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win Game 1 against EDward Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xc69b…20764 linked markets · $19.6K gross
0x1e8c…64522 linked markets · $8.3K gross
1111111111152 linked markets · $8.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES UP 16.0pp · near-book depth $193$574.8K · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$7.3K
6h$21.2K
24h$21.2K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h43.0¢▲ above by 57.0pp
VWAP 7d43.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$7.2K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$42
55¢
$98
50¢
$4.3K
45¢
$1.9K
40¢
$1.1K
35¢
$3.0K
30¢
$0
25¢
$5.5K
20¢
$20.0K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYBilibili Gaming (NO)$20.0K@ 75.4¢0x5bc6…eff4🐋about 2 hours ago

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Verified directional wallets · 7d
No smart wallet activity