LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner

● quote 13 min ago
SportsCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $344.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $940.2KEvent: LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly39Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 52%
24h sample:11 trades$88.0K tracked36% 🐋source coverage 9%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 46 min agoofficial metadata 16 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBNK FEARX (NO)$38.0K@ 76¢·111111111115

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$1.0K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.0K
6h
−$40.2K
tracked
$88.0K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 52% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 13 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 46 minutes old.
  • Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-07-30 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between DN SOOPers and BNK FEARX in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for July 30 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers" if DN SOOPers win Game 2 against BNK FEARX. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win Game 2 against DN SOOPers. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
1111111111152 linked markets · $48.6K gross
retroactivesource2 linked markets · $24.1K gross
0xe907…cff62 linked markets · $61 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$1.0K
6h$40.2K
24h$40.2K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h12.5¢▼ below by 12.4pp
VWAP 7d12.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$38.0K
15¢
$0
10¢
$12.8K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$37.1K

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLBNK FEARX (NO)$21.7K@ 99.9¢0xc1c7…f0a7🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYBNK FEARX (NO)$13.2K@ 97.0¢0xe291…748e🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYBNK FEARX (NO)$12.8K@ 89.0¢
retroactivesource0x85d5…45ee
🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYBNK FEARX (NO)$38.0K@ 76.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

111111111115BNK FEARX$38.0K
BUY VWAP 76.0¢·1 fill
0xe291…748eBNK FEARX$13.2K
BUY VWAP 97.0¢·1 fill
retroactivesourceBNK FEARX$12.8K
BUY VWAP 89.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.