LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner

● quote 8 min ago
SportsCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $477.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.0MEvent: LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly91Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 49%
24h sample:37 trades$67.4K tracked8% 🐋source coverage 7%BUY/SELL known 95%
tape 47 min agoofficial metadata 12 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHanwha Life Esports (YES)$24.8K@ 62¢·0x1d2e…896d

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$298
6h
+$32.4K
tracked
$67.4K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 49% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 8 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 47 minutes old.
  • Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-07-30 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Hanwha Life Esports and Dplus KIA in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for July 30 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win Game 1 against Dplus KIA. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 1 against Hanwha Life Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x04b1…d2242 linked markets · $43.0K gross
0xe907…cff63 linked markets · $14.0K gross
0x3308…f04b2 linked markets · $6.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$298
6h+$32.4K
24h+$32.4K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h47.9¢▼ below by 47.9pp
VWAP 7d47.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$21.9K
60¢
$24.8K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$1.5K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$15.2K

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYDplus KIA (NO)$14.8K@ 99.0¢0x04b1…d224🐋about 1 hour ago
BUYHanwha Life Esports (YES)$21.9K@ 67.5¢0xba38…fb57🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYHanwha Life Esports (YES)$24.8K@ 62.0¢0x1d2e…896d🐋about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x1d2e…896dHanwha Life Esports$24.8K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·1 fill
0xba38…fb57Hanwha Life Esports$21.9K
BUY VWAP 67.5¢·1 fill
0x04b1…d224Dplus KIA$14.8K
BUY VWAP 99.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.