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49ers vs. Raiders

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $196.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $2.2MEvent: 49ers vs. Raiders
41.5¢
49ers payout
58.5¢
Raiders payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELL49ers$940.0K@ 100¢·Djdjdjekekek

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-28 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If 49ers wins, the market will resolve to "49ers".

•If Raiders wins, the market will resolve to "Raiders".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 27 at 8:00PM ET: If 49ers wins, the market will resolve to "49ers". If Raiders wins, the market will resolve to "Raiders". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 9d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 9d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY 49ers9d ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Raiders9d ago
Outcome checks pending
POSITION CHANGEBUY Raiders@ 36.0¢9d ago
15m INVALIDATED -9.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
POSITION CHANGEBUY 49ers@ 66.0¢9d ago
15m CONFIRMED +6.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor 49ers; negative values favor Raiders. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRaiders · $941.2K
6hRaiders · $1.4M
24hRaiders · $1.4M

49ers price VWAP

Volume-weighted 49ers price. Raiders fills are converted to the complementary 49ers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current41.5¢
VWAP 24h77.5¢▼ below by 36.0pp
VWAP 7d77.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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49ers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$943.6K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$2.6K
70¢
$18.1K
65¢
$7.1K
60¢
$0
55¢
$1.5K
50¢
$149.9K
45¢
$30.5K
40¢
← now
$351.2K
35¢
$65.3K
30¢
$3.0K
25¢
$3.6K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELL49ers$940.0K@ 99.9¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—9 days ago
BUYRaiders$10.2K@ 50.0¢
ethBELIVER0x05f6…25a1
🐋—9 days ago
BUYRaiders$12.5K@ 50.0¢
iDARKenjoyer0xf68a…5b1b
🐋—9 days ago
BUYRaiders$100.0K@ 50.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—9 days ago
BUY49ers$20.3K@ 49.1¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—9 days ago
BUYRaiders$30.0K@ 60.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—9 days ago
BUYRaiders$20.4K@ 60.0¢
Dropper0x6bab…1292
🐋—9 days ago
BUYRaiders$90.0K@ 60.0¢
coali100x7bc1…8db4
🐋—9 days ago
BUYRaiders$30.0K@ 60.0¢
iDARKenjoyer0xf68a…5b1b
🐋—9 days ago
BUYRaiders$120.0K@ 60.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—9 days ago
BUY49ers$28.1K@ 39.5¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—9 days ago
BUYRaiders$11.2K@ 62.0¢
bands10xa080…234f
🐋—9 days ago
BUYRaiders$10.5K@ 59.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—9 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.