LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner

● quote 29 min ago
SportsCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $1.1MOfficial 24h Vol: $836.8KEvent: LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 68%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:202 trades$93.6K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 11%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 39 min agoofficial metadata 32 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHANJIN BRION (NO)$27.4K@ 98¢·fkgggg2mouzfuria

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$3.7K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$3.7K
6h
−$13.8K
tracked
$93.6K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$22.8K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 68% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -40.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 29 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 39 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 32 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-02 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between DN SOOPers and HANJIN BRION in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 2 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers" if DN SOOPers win Game 2 against HANJIN BRION. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win Game 2 against DN SOOPers. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x04b1…d2243 linked markets · $45.4K gross
0xa469…07822 linked markets · $20.2K gross
0xc0c4…f7453 linked markets · $19.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY DN SOOPers2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY DN SOOPers@ 41.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +37.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: NO UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $66$16.1K · 1s
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$3.7K
6h$13.8K
24h$13.8K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h23.6¢▼ below by 23.5pp
VWAP 7d23.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$547
60¢
$0
55¢
$2.6K
50¢
$2.3K
45¢
$4.2K
40¢
$224
35¢
$31.2K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYDN SOOPers (YES)$22.8K@ 37.6¢
esportGG0xf070…ac55
🐋about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

esportGGDN SOOPers$22.8K
BUY VWAP 37.6¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.