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Hamburg European Open: Elina Avanesyan vs Yulia Putintseva

● quote 10 min ago
Geopolitics→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $226.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $852.7KEvent: Hamburg European Open: Elina Avanesyan vs Yulia Putintseva
99.9¢
YES
1.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection7Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 65%💡 1 smartVerified directional wallets: positive measured PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:137 trades$45.3K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 5%BUY/SELL known 97%
tape 16 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYulia Putintseva (NO)$26.6K@ 57¢·0x5f65…2036

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$3.0K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$3.0K
6h
−$20.6K
tracked
$45.3K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$523 YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 65% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 10 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 16 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$3.0K
6h−$20.6K
24h−$20.6K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h49.0¢▲ above by 50.9pp
VWAP 7d49.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$318
90¢
$0
85¢
$3.8K
80¢
$850
75¢
$17
70¢
$1
65¢
$0
60¢
$51
55¢
$543
50¢
$978
45¢
$8.8K
40¢
$27.7K
35¢
$43
30¢
$603
25¢
$100
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYYulia Putintseva (NO)$26.6K@ 56.7¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Verified directional wallets · 7d
swisstonyYES+$523 signed