New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox

● quote 8 min ago

Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $907.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $228.8KEvent: New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox

57.5¢

YES

42.5¢

1.0¢

Spread

anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection44Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:12 trades$72.0K tracked25% 🐋source coverage 31%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 19 min agoofficial metadata 9 min ago

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYChicago White Sox (NO)$34.9K@ 42¢·Eztennis

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

NO pressure: −$31.9K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

−$31.9K

−$52.9K

tracked

$72.0K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$13.0K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?

1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Executable quote is 8 minutes old.
•Observed tape is 19 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

active

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-08-05 23:40 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for July 29 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Chicago White Sox@ 43.0¢56m ago

15m STALLED -1.0pp

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1h−$31.9K

6h−$52.9K

24h−$39.9K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current57.5¢

VWAP 24h58.0¢▼ below by 0.5pp

VWAP 7d58.0¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

65¢

60¢

55¢