PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

● quote 20s ago
Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $23.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $154.8KEvent: New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox
86.0¢
YES
14.0¢
NO
4.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution78Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:6 trades$46.7K tracked17% 🐋source coverage 30%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 22 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $46.7K·2 wallets(1🐋)·$46.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYChicago White Sox (NO)$46.7K@ 56¢·0x2c33…0563

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$7
6h
−$46.7K
tracked
$46.7K

2 verified profitable wallets: −$46.7K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
4.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Since latest deadline positioning: -41.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 22 minutes old.
  • •Spread is 4.0¢ before size-dependent slippage.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-07-29 23:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for July 29 at 7:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

DEADLINE POSITIONINGBUY Chicago White Sox@ 57.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -41.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Chicago White Sox@ 57.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -41.0pp
Latest book event: YES UP 17.0pp · near-book depth $7 → $1.5K · 8s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$7
6h−$46.7K
24h−$46.7K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current86.0¢
VWAP 24h44.0¢▲ above by 42.0pp
VWAP 7d44.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
← now
$2
80¢
$0
75¢
$4
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$46.7K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYChicago White Sox (NO)$46.7K@ 56.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox
92.5¢$248.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds
74.5¢$670.1Kpriority60Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$274.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
4.5¢$268.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets
69.5¢$266.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals
46.5¢$215.0Kpriority50Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?
2.9¢$160.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?
0.3¢$153.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Chicago White Sox$46.7K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.