Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays

● quote 161 min ago
SportsCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $1.0MOfficial 24h Vol: $1.8MEvent: Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
1.0¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly78Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets70Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 64%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:198 trades$32.0K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 2%BUY/SELL known 98%
tape 167 min agoofficial metadata 159 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$808·4 wallets·$1.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTampa Bay Rays (NO)$17.5K@ 58¢·0xfd67…ef90

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$137
6h
+$3.6K
tracked
$32.0K

4 verified profitable wallets: +$808 YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 64% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Tracked source coverage is only 2%.
  • Executable quote is 161 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 167 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-06 16:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Texas Rangers and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for July 30 at 12:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
swisstony2 linked markets · $821 gross
0x67af…61ee2 linked markets · $49 gross
0x83d9…10d92 linked markets · $9 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Tampa Bay Rays@ 58.0¢9h ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h STALLED +1.0pp6h CONFIRMED +27.0pp
Latest book event: NO DOWN 3.5pp · near-book depth $25.2K$4 · 26s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$137
6h+$3.6K
24h$20.2K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current1.0¢
VWAP 24h40.6¢▼ below by 39.6pp
VWAP 7d40.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$21
50¢
$28
45¢
$0
40¢
$25.7K
35¢
$4.1K
30¢
$984
25¢
$53
20¢
$168
15¢
$0
10¢
$110
5¢
$6
0¢
← now
$267

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYTampa Bay Rays (NO)$17.5K@ 58.0¢0xfd67…ef90🐋about 9 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xfd67…ef90Tampa Bay Rays$17.5K
BUY VWAP 58.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.