LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner

● quote 18 min ago
SportsCloses: 43 minutesLiquidity: $198.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $262.4KEvent: LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 50%
24h sample:74 trades$5.2K trackedsource coverage 2%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 154 min agoofficial metadata 15 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLLOUD (NO)$1.7K@ 60¢·johnbaster

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$156
tracked
$5.2K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 50% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Tracked source coverage is only 2%.
  • Executable quote is 18 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 154 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-02 20:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Fluxo W7M and LOUD in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 2 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Fluxo W7M" if Fluxo W7M win Game 1 against LOUD. This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win Game 1 against Fluxo W7M. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
johnbaster2 linked markets · $4.7K gross
0xf201…527e2 linked markets · $1.7K gross
0x775d…6beb3 linked markets · $1.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$0
6h$156
24h$156

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h33.9¢▼ below by 33.9pp
VWAP 7d33.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$1.4K
45¢
$277
40¢
$6
35¢
$1.7K
30¢
$29
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$1.0K
10¢
$85
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$534

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season
0.1¢$199.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$186.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$741.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$697.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner
52.5¢$673.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs
0.1¢$536.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros
29.5¢$384.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres
45.5¢$361.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.