Valorant: BBL Esports vs Pcific Esports - Map 2 Winner

● quote 85 min ago
SportsCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $280.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $195.7KEvent: Valorant: BBL Esports vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly43Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 54%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:37 trades$28.9K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 15%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 143 min agoofficial metadata 85 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBBL Esports (YES)$19.7K@ 74¢·0x2c33…0563

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$364
6h
+$19.3K
tracked
$28.9K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$19.7K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 54% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -30.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 85 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 143 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 85 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-02 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://vlr.gg
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Valorant match between BBL Esports and Pcific Esports in the VCT EMEA Group Alpha, initially scheduled for August 2 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "BBL Esports" if BBL Esports win Map 2 against Pcific Esports. This market will resolve to "Pcific Esports" if Pcific Esports win Map 2 against BBL Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x2c33…05632 linked markets · $68.9K gross
0x86df…d9023 linked markets · $5.4K gross
0x3fcc…9f912 linked markets · $377 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY BBL Esports@ 31.0¢4h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: NO UP 7.5pp · near-book depth $641$956 · 14s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$364
6h+$19.3K
24h+$19.3K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h68.7¢▼ below by 68.7pp
VWAP 7d68.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$401
75¢
$0
70¢
$20.3K
65¢
$101
60¢
$7.0K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$13
40¢
$5
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$60
15¢
$357
10¢
$2
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$568

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYBBL Esports (YES)$19.7K@ 74.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋about 4 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Valorant: BBL Esports vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha
100.0¢$308.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$741.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$697.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner
52.5¢$673.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs
0.1¢$536.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros
29.5¢$384.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres
45.5¢$361.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays
55.5¢$360.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563BBL Esports$19.7K
BUY VWAP 74.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.