Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 7?

● quote 99 min ago
CryptoCloses: about 19 hoursLiquidity: $40.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $70.1KEvent: Bitcoin above ___ on August 7?
99.9¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution88Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 54%
24h sample:1 trades$11.2K tracked100% 🐋source coverage 16%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 280 min agoofficial metadata 113 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYES$11.2K@ 100¢·0xaa9a…3b3e

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$11.2K
tracked
$11.2K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 54% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • Executable quote is 99 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 280 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Unknown
Deadline
2026-08-07 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: Not supplied by the market

Resolution wording is unavailable. Treat this as missing decision evidence.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$0
6h+$11.2K
24h+$11.2K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h99.9¢▼ below by 0.0pp
VWAP 7d99.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$11.2K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYYES$11.2K@ 99.9¢0xaa9a…3b3e🐋about 5 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 7?
100.0¢$51.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
0.1¢$105.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
54.5¢$90.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
22.5¢$84.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
0.9¢$79.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
9.5¢$78.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO1) - LFL Regular Season
86.0¢$74.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
15.5¢$74.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xaa9a…3b3eYes$11.2K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.