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LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner

● quote 537 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 10 hoursLiquidity: $432.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $942.3KEvent: LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
0.1¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection35Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets55Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 52%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:158 trades$76.6K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 8%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 575 min agoofficial metadata 536 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $10.7K·2 wallets(1🐋)·$13.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLHANJIN BRION (NO)$26.9K@ 100¢·Zywoo123

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — MARKET STATUS RISK
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$26.9K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$26.9K
6h
+$23.0K
tracked
$76.6K

2 verified profitable wallets: −$10.7K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 52% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 537 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 575 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 536 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-07 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between BNK FEARX and HANJIN BRION in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 7 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win Game 2 against HANJIN BRION. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win Game 2 against BNK FEARX. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 9h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe907…cff63 linked markets · $14.7K gross
0x04b1…d2242 linked markets · $7.7K gross
0xc69b…20762 linked markets · $1.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES DOWN 7.0pp · near-book depth $2.9K → $102 · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$26.9K
6h+$23.0K
24h+$23.0K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h28.9¢▼ below by 28.8pp
VWAP 7d28.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$6.0K
55¢
$3.8K
50¢
$23.1K
45¢
$6.7K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$342
15¢
$2.8K
10¢
$2.3K
5¢
$1.6K
0¢
← now
$30.0K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLHANJIN BRION (NO)$26.9K@ 99.9¢
Zywoo1230xc44f…d49f
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYHANJIN BRION (NO)$11.9K@ 47.5¢
SineNooneEI0x3833…33d1
🐋—about 12 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

SineNooneEIHANJIN BRION$11.9K
BUY VWAP 47.5¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.