LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner

● quote 29 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $695.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $757.0KEvent: LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection20Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets46Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:502 trades$327.9K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 38 min agoofficial metadata 33 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $7.6K·3 wallets·$16.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLJD Gaming (NO)$20.0K@ 100¢·0xf2f2…0550

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$65.6K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$65.6K
6h
+$16.9K
tracked
$327.9K

3 verified profitable wallets: −$7.6K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest confirmed build: +16.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 29 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 38 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 33 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-16 11:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between LGD Gaming and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 16 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 1 against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win Game 1 against LGD Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xf2f2…05502 linked markets · $52.7K gross
0xf201…527e3 linked markets · $37.4K gross
0xdac3…66d82 linked markets · $36.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

CONFIRMED BUILDBUY JD Gaming@ 84.0¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: NO DOWN 7.0pp · near-book depth $460 → $827 · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$65.6K
6h+$16.9K
24h+$15.1K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h12.9¢▼ below by 12.8pp
VWAP 7d12.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$1.8K
30¢
$49.9K
25¢
$17.2K
20¢
$37.8K
15¢
$63.5K
10¢
$8.0K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$96.7K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLJD Gaming (NO)$10.4K@ 99.9¢0xdf06…c9ff🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLJD Gaming (NO)$18.2K@ 99.9¢0xdac3…66d8🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xf2f2…0550JD Gaming$15.8K
BUY VWAP 79.8¢·7 fills
0xf030…12e2JD Gaming$12.2K
BUY VWAP 79.0¢·6 fills
0xf64e…a1ddJD Gaming$10.8K
BUY VWAP 80.5¢·5 fills
0xf201…527eJD Gaming$10.2K
BUY VWAP 71.7¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.