LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner

● quote 16 min ago

Sports→Closes: 43 minutesLiquidity: $444.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $830.8KEvent: LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

99.9¢

YES

0.1¢

Spread

anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection14Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets97Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:309 trades$355.2K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 27 min agoofficial metadata 16 min ago

Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $17.1K·3 wallets(1🐋)·$17.5K gross

Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLLGD Gaming (YES)$20.0K@ 100¢·0xf485…03ae

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

NO pressure: −$50.6K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

−$50.6K

−$189.3K

tracked

$355.2K

3 verified profitable wallets: −$17.1K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?

0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest confirmed build: -80.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
•Executable quote is 16 minutes old.
•Observed tape is 27 minutes old.
•Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

resolving

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-08-16 11:00 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between LGD Gaming and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 16 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 2 against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win Game 2 against LGD Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

0xf2f2…05503 linked markets · $116.4K gross

0xf201…527e3 linked markets · $68.3K gross

0xcf60…a6f53 linked markets · $47.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

CONFIRMED BUILDBUY JD Gaming@ 81.0¢2h ago

15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE

LARGE FLOWBUY JD Gaming@ 78.0¢2h ago

15m INVALIDATED -74.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE

Latest book event: YES UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $405 → $10.9K · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1h−$50.6K

6h−$189.3K

24h−$191.1K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current99.9¢

VWAP 24h66.1¢▲ above by 33.8pp

VWAP 7d66.1¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

← now

$135.8K

90¢

$19.7K

85¢

80¢

$6.1K

75¢

$1.6K

70¢

65¢

60¢

55¢

$1.1K

50¢

$15.7K

45¢

$1.1K

40¢

35¢

$22.6K

30¢

$78.3K

25¢

$27.9K

20¢

$18.6K

15¢

$6.0K

10¢

5¢

0¢

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago

Loading trades…

🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now

SELLLGD Gaming (YES)$19.4K@ 99.9¢0xf2f2…0550🐋—about 1 hour ago

SELLLGD Gaming (YES)$20.0K@ 99.9¢0xf485…03ae🐋—about 1 hour ago

SELLLGD Gaming (YES)$12.3K@ 99.9¢0x84fb…675e🐋—about 2 hours ago

SELLLGD Gaming (YES)$12.5K@ 99.9¢0xdac3…66d8🐋—about 2 hours ago

BUYJD Gaming (NO)$15.6K@ 68.0¢

zb80x0224…292a

🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

zb8JD Gaming$15.6K

BUY VWAP 68.0¢·1 fill

0xf64e…a1ddJD Gaming$11.3K

BUY VWAP 63.3¢·6 fills

0xf201…527eJD Gaming$10.9K

BUY VWAP 50.9¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.