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LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner

● quote 10 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $870.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.1MEvent: LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets12Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:452 trades$452.2K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 17 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$2.5K·3 wallets·$20.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLGen.G (NO)$20.4K@ 100¢·0xdac3…66d8

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$26.7K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$26.7K
6h
−$40.4K
tracked
$452.2K

3 verified profitable wallets: +$2.5K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest confirmed build: +9.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 10 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 17 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-16 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between T1 and Gen.G in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 16 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win Game 1 against Gen.G. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win Game 1 against T1. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xf201…527e2 linked markets · $37.8K gross
0x10ef…7d7b2 linked markets · $14.4K gross
0x8f3a…5ad02 linked markets · $10.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY T139m ago
Outcome checks pending
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Gen.G@ 91.0¢42m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY T1@ 11.0¢42m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Gen.G1h ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: NO UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $591 → $2.4K · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$26.7K
6h−$40.4K
24h−$38.9K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h30.8¢▼ below by 30.8pp
VWAP 7d30.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$3.9K
90¢
$52
85¢
$1.2K
80¢
$10.1K
75¢
$9.5K
70¢
$20.8K
65¢
$35.5K
60¢
$11.7K
55¢
$1.6K
50¢
$36
45¢
$535
40¢
$35.0K
35¢
$60.0K
30¢
$35.2K
25¢
$42.4K
20¢
$13.9K
15¢
$5.0K
10¢
$49.9K
5¢
$14.2K
0¢
← now
$122.3K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLGen.G (NO)$13.3K@ 99.9¢
MD140x7d78…29a5
🐋—10 minutes ago
SELLGen.G (NO)$20.4K@ 99.9¢0xdac3…66d8🐋—21 minutes ago
BUYGen.G (NO)$19.7K@ 99.0¢
fkgggg2mouzfuria0x52ec…a6f3
🐋—33 minutes ago
BUYGen.G (NO)$10.5K@ 62.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xf201…527eGen.G$23.7K
BUY VWAP 62.6¢·8 fills
fkgggg2mouzfuriaGen.G$19.7K
BUY VWAP 99.0¢·1 fill
111111111115Gen.G$18.7K
BUY VWAP 60.2¢·2 fills
0xf23c…9f81T1$17.1K
BUY VWAP 66.4¢·4 fills
0x04b1…d224Gen.G$14.9K
BUY VWAP 85.3¢·3 fills
0xce29…3b0dGen.G$12.5K
BUY VWAP 62.5¢·2 fills
0x04b1…d224T1$10.4K
BUY VWAP 78.9¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.