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Cowboys vs. Giants

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $1.9MOfficial 24h Vol: $88.5KEvent: Cowboys vs. Giants
60.5¢
Cowboys
39.5¢
Giants
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly97Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:16 trades$37.3K tracked13% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 18 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Giants · $1.3K net·2 wallets·$5.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGiants$16.6K@ 39¢·SDTrading

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Cowboys pressure: $1.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.5K
6h
+$3.7K
tracked
$37.3K

2 verified profitable wallets: Giants · $1.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 18 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Cowboys or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-14 00:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If Cowboys wins, the market will resolve to "Cowboys".

•If Giants wins, the market will resolve to "Giants".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 13 at 8:20PM ET: If Cowboys wins, the market will resolve to "Cowboys". If Giants wins, the market will resolve to "Giants". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Giants@ 40.0¢7h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cowboys; negative values favor Giants. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCowboys · $1.5K
6hCowboys · $3.7K
24hCowboys · $3.9K

Cowboys price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cowboys price. Giants fills are converted to the complementary Cowboys probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current60.5¢
VWAP 24h61.1¢▼ below by 0.6pp
VWAP 7d60.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Cowboys price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
← now
$48.8K
55¢
$3.3K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYGiants$16.6K@ 39.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 8 hours ago
BUYCowboys$10.2K@ 61.0¢
BTCGambler2470x31c5…ede4
🐋—about 16 hours ago
BUYGiants$11.5K@ 40.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—2 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

SDTradingGiants$16.6K
BUY VWAP 39.0¢·1 fill
0x3dfb…abafGiants$11.5K
BUY VWAP 40.0¢·1 fill
BTCGambler247Cowboys$10.2K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.