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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins

● quote 7 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $491.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $409.7KEvent: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins
1.0¢
Los Angeles Dodgers
99.9¢
Miami Marlins
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets8Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 11 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:110 trades$161.9K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 38 min agoofficial metadata 7 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Los Angeles Dodgers · $4.1K net·11 wallets·$48.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLos Angeles Dodgers$22.7K@ 52¢·xifutloong3

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Miami Marlins pressure: $3.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$3.0K
6h
+$92.6K
tracked
$161.9K

11 verified profitable wallets: Los Angeles Dodgers · $4.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Since latest accumulation: +47.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 7 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 38 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 47.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Miami Marlins or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-20 17:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Miami Marlins, scheduled for September 13 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Los Angeles Dodgers3h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Los Angeles Dodgers3h ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY Los Angeles Dodgers@ 53.0¢3h ago
15m CONFIRMED +32.0pp1h CONFIRMED +39.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Los Angeles Dodgers@ 53.0¢3h ago
15m CONFIRMED +32.0pp1h CONFIRMED +39.0pp
Latest book event: Los Angeles Dodgers DOWN 9.5pp · near-book depth $3.9K → $205 · 12s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Los Angeles Dodgers; negative values favor Miami Marlins. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMiami Marlins · $3.0K
6hLos Angeles Dodgers · $92.6K
24hLos Angeles Dodgers · $68.8K

Los Angeles Dodgers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers price. Miami Marlins fills are converted to the complementary Los Angeles Dodgers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current1.0¢
VWAP 24h58.3¢▼ below by 57.3pp
VWAP 7d58.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Los Angeles Dodgers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$434
90¢
$15.3K
85¢
$12.7K
80¢
$0
75¢
$2.9K
70¢
$14.1K
65¢
$0
60¢
$2.2K
55¢
$30.5K
50¢
$67.7K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$3.5K
20¢
$6.6K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$5.9K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLos Angeles Dodgers$22.4K@ 52.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYLos Angeles Dodgers$22.7K@ 52.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYMiami Marlins$12.4K@ 43.0¢0xc323…0077🐋—about 8 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

xifutloong3Los Angeles Dodgers$50.1K
BUY VWAP 52.1¢·3 fills
HomeRunHazardLos Angeles Dodgers$18.5K
BUY VWAP 64.4¢·6 fills
0xc323…0077Miami Marlins$12.4K
BUY VWAP 43.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.