ITF Landisville: Hanna Chang vs Elizabeth Mandlik

● quote 85 min ago
CryptoCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $107.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $76.9KEvent: ITF Landisville: Hanna Chang vs Elizabeth Mandlik
18.5¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection100Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:13 trades$23.7K tracked15% 🐋source coverage 31%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 122 min agoofficial metadata 83 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYElizabeth Mandlik (NO)$12.1K@ 85¢·0x8546…35b8

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$23.7K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$23.7K
6h
−$23.7K
tracked
$23.7K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$28 YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Executable quote is 85 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 122 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 83 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-12 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Hanna Chang and Elizabeth Mandlik in the ITF Women Landisville, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hanna Chang' if Hanna Chang advances against Elizabeth Mandlik. This market will resolve to 'Elizabeth Mandlik' if Elizabeth Mandlik advances against Hanna Chang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Elizabeth Mandlik@ 100.0¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$23.7K
6h$23.7K
24h$23.7K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current18.5¢
VWAP 24h12.3¢▲ above by 6.2pp
VWAP 7d12.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
← now
$0
10¢
$23.0K
5¢
$0
0¢
$756

VPOC = 10¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYElizabeth Mandlik (NO)$10.9K@ 89.5¢0x8546…35b8🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYElizabeth Mandlik (NO)$12.1K@ 85.5¢0x8546…35b8🐋about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x8546…35b8Elizabeth Mandlik$23.0K
BUY VWAP 87.3¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.