Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner
Decision read
Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
YES pressure: +$6.8K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.
2 verified profitable wallets: +$49.4K YES-equivalent over 7d.
Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.
Data confidence 68% · priority 48
Since latest large flow: -22.0pp at executable prices.
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
- •Observed tape is 12 minutes old.
- •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.
Resolution & market truth
Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis
Read full resolution rules
This market refers to the Dota 2 Grand final match between Team Falcons and Team Liquid in the 1win Essence Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 5 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Game 3 against Team Liquid. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 3 against Team Falcons. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 3. If Game 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.
Evidence receipts
Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible
Price History
Signals Trend
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.YES-equivalent VWAP
Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.Largest holders
YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d
VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
Related Markets · same event first, then category
Observed whale buys · 7d
Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome
Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.