PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5

● quote 145 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $142.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $35.3KEvent: Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox
44.5¢
YES
55.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection100Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:3 trades$37.6K tracked67% 🐋source coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 152 min agoofficial metadata 148 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$12.9K·2 wallets(1🐋)·$12.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOver (YES)$24.8K@ 45¢·SDTrading

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$37.6K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$37.6K
6h
+$37.6K
tracked
$37.6K

2 verified profitable wallets: +$12.9K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 145 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 152 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 148 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Unknown
Deadline
2026-08-08 20:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: Not supplied by the market

Resolution wording is unavailable. Treat this as missing decision evidence.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Over@ 45.0¢2h ago
Outcome checks pending
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$37.6K
6h+$37.6K
24h+$37.6K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current44.5¢
VWAP 24h45.0¢▼ below by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d45.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$37.6K
40¢
← now
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYOver (YES)$24.8K@ 45.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYOver (YES)$11.3K@ 45.0¢
purplegatto0x032e…2a9e
🐋—about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
27.5¢$867.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$675.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$635.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
0.1¢$590.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$582.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Phantom (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 10
100.0¢$558.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$535.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$424.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

SDTradingOver$24.8K
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·1 fill
purplegattoOver$11.3K
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.