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Packers vs. Jets

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 42 minutesLiquidity: $1.5MOfficial 24h Vol: $884.0KEvent: Packers vs. Jets
59.5¢
Packers
40.5¢
Jets
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection83Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority83Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:28 trades$399.6K tracked39% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Jets · $43.1K net·2 wallets(2🐋)·$43.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJets$156.0K@ 39¢·maz26

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Jets SETUP
What the tape says

Jets pressure: $308.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$308.1K
6h
−$349.4K
tracked
$399.6K

2 verified profitable wallets: Jets · $43.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 83

Since latest liquidity absorption: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Jets or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-20 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If Packers wins, the market will resolve to "Packers".

•If Jets wins, the market will resolve to "Jets".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 20 at 1:00PM ET: If Packers wins, the market will resolve to "Packers". If Jets wins, the market will resolve to "Jets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
maz262 linked markets · $227.5K gross
Kch-Temp3 linked markets · $173.6K gross
0x2c33…05633 linked markets · $145.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Jets@ 41.0¢1m ago
Outcome checks pending
WHALE FOLLOW THROUGHBUY Jets@ 41.0¢1m ago
Outcome checks pending
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Jets@ 40.0¢21m ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp
WHALE FOLLOW THROUGHBUY Jets@ 40.0¢21m ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Packers; negative values favor Jets. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJets · $308.1K
6hJets · $349.4K
24hJets · $346.3K

Packers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Packers price. Jets fills are converted to the complementary Packers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current59.5¢
VWAP 24h60.9¢▼ below by 1.4pp
VWAP 7d60.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Packers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$399.6K
55¢
← now
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLJets$27.4K@ 40.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—less than a minute ago
SELLPackers$16.8K@ 60.0¢
backback0x996a…e3cc
🐋—8 minutes ago
BUYJets$12.0K@ 40.0¢
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN0xdaef…54e9
🐋—9 minutes ago
BUYJets$29.9K@ 39.0¢0xd729…09d7🐋—36 minutes ago
BUYJets$156.0K@ 39.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—36 minutes ago
BUYJets$10.6K@ 39.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—41 minutes ago
BUYJets$23.7K@ 39.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—41 minutes ago
BUYJets$23.0K@ 39.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—41 minutes ago
BUYJets$22.1K@ 39.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—41 minutes ago
BUYJets$29.3K@ 39.0¢
Kch-Temp0x9243…658e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYJets$13.9K@ 39.0¢
wan1230xde7b…5f4b
🐋—about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Packers (-3.5)
45.5¢$359.8Kpriority63Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Packers (-4.5)
42.5¢$187.0Kpriority52Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Packers vs. Jets: O/U 44.5
47.5¢$161.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Packers vs. Jets: O/U 45.5
44.5¢$11.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
54.5¢$3.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Jets (-7.5)
15.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Jets (-5.5)
22.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Jets (-4.5)
24.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

maz26Jets$156.0K
BUY VWAP 39.0¢·1 fill
wr0ngw4yb3tt0rJets$93.2K
BUY VWAP 39.0¢·7 fills
0xd729…09d7Jets$29.9K
BUY VWAP 39.0¢·1 fill
Kch-TempJets$29.3K
BUY VWAP 39.0¢·1 fill
wan123Jets$13.9K
BUY VWAP 39.0¢·1 fill
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FANJets$12.0K
BUY VWAP 40.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.