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Spread: Packers (-2.5)

● quote 13s ago
Sports→Closes: 6 minutesLiquidity: $86.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $140.1KEvent: Packers vs. Jets
52.5¢
Packers
47.5¢
Jets
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection52Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution86Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority57Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 88%
24h sample:6 trades$70.1K tracked33% 🐋source coverage 50%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJets$29.6K@ 45¢·RegardedMoney

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Jets SETUP
What the tape says

Jets pressure: $36.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$36.5K
6h
−$66.2K
tracked
$70.1K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 88% · priority 57

Since latest large flow: +2.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Jets or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-20 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Packers" if the Packers win the game by 3 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Jets".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Packers and Jets, scheduled for September 20 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Packers" if the Packers win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Jets". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
maz263 linked markets · $262.3K gross
Kch-Temp3 linked markets · $173.6K gross
0x2c33…05633 linked markets · $145.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Jets@ 46.0¢9m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Jets@ 46.0¢9m ago
Outcome checks pending

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Packers; negative values favor Jets. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJets · $36.5K
6hJets · $66.2K
24hJets · $66.2K

Packers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Packers price. Jets fills are converted to the complementary Packers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current52.5¢
VWAP 24h54.4¢▼ below by 1.9pp
VWAP 7d54.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Packers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$31.6K
50¢
← now
$38.5K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYJets$29.1K@ 46.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—17 minutes ago
BUYJets$29.6K@ 45.0¢
RegardedMoney0x5c3a…020b
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

RegardedMoneyJets$29.6K
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·1 fill
mooseborzoiJets$29.2K
BUY VWAP 46.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.