LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner

● quote 74 min ago
SportsCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $395.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $447.9KEvent: LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffs
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection8Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets9Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:165 trades$188.2K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 101 min agoofficial metadata 76 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $5.9K·2 wallets(1🐋)·$45.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLDN SOOPers (NO)$20.0K@ 100¢·5e46h

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$15.5K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$15.5K
6h
+$16.2K
tracked
$188.2K

2 verified profitable wallets: −$5.9K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 74 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 101 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 76 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-11 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal match between Hanwha Life Esports and DN SOOPers in the KeSPA Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 11 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win Game 1 against DN SOOPers. This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers" if DN SOOPers win Game 1 against Hanwha Life Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
retroactivesource3 linked markets · $81.9K gross
five51203 linked markets · $66.2K gross
Lakersfan1114 linked markets · $65.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: NO DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $92$3.0K · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$15.5K
6h+$16.2K
24h+$16.2K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h17.2¢▼ below by 17.2pp
VWAP 7d17.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$22.8K
65¢
$2.1K
60¢
$2.3K
55¢
$0
50¢
$1.1K
45¢
$5.3K
40¢
$1.2K
35¢
$5.5K
30¢
$6.7K
25¢
$10.2K
20¢
$513
15¢
$6.9K
10¢
$7.1K
5¢
$3.8K
0¢
← now
$112.6K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLDN SOOPers (NO)$12.2K@ 99.9¢
five51200xc1c7…f0a7
🐋about 2 hours ago
SELLDN SOOPers (NO)$11.3K@ 99.9¢0x6a93…8e36🐋about 2 hours ago
SELLDN SOOPers (NO)$20.0K@ 99.9¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYDN SOOPers (NO)$15.9K@ 99.0¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

5e46hDN SOOPers$15.9K
BUY VWAP 99.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.