LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner

● quote 14 min ago
SportsCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $327.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $354.2KEvent: LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffs
0.1¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets10Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 62%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:81 trades$165.8K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 101 min agoofficial metadata 16 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$1.3K·2 wallets·$8.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLDN SOOPers (NO)$34.2K@ 100¢·five5120

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$13.2K
tracked
$165.8K

2 verified profitable wallets: +$1.3K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 62% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 14 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 101 minutes old.
  • Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-11 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal match between Hanwha Life Esports and DN SOOPers in the KeSPA Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 11 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win Game 2 against DN SOOPers. This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers" if DN SOOPers win Game 2 against Hanwha Life Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xcf60…a6f55 linked markets · $105.5K gross
five51203 linked markets · $92.9K gross
retroactivesource3 linked markets · $81.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES UP 4.9pp · near-book depth $32$20 · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$0
6h+$13.2K
24h+$13.2K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h6.7¢▼ below by 6.6pp
VWAP 7d6.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$1.7K
30¢
$4.1K
25¢
$19.1K
20¢
$2.2K
15¢
$13.3K
10¢
$17
5¢
$10.3K
0¢
← now
$115.1K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLDN SOOPers (NO)$14.9K@ 99.9¢0xcf60…a6f5🐋about 2 hours ago
SELLDN SOOPers (NO)$11.4K@ 99.9¢0x6a93…8e36🐋about 3 hours ago
SELLDN SOOPers (NO)$34.2K@ 99.9¢
five51200xc1c7…f0a7
🐋about 3 hours ago
BUYDN SOOPers (NO)$14.8K@ 99.9¢0xda6a…5b40🐋about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xda6a…5b40DN SOOPers$14.8K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.