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Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner

● quote 70 min ago
Sports→Closes: 41 minutesLiquidity: $829.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $572.7KEvent: Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B
100.0¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection23Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 71%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:119 trades$146.4K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 26%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 88 min agoofficial metadata 75 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $33.6K·2 wallets(1🐋)·$33.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLNIP (YES)$28.4K@ 100¢·5e46h

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$34.4K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$34.4K
6h
−$32.6K
tracked
$146.4K

2 verified profitable wallets: −$33.6K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 71% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 70 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 88 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 75 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-14 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between NIP and BetBoom Team in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for August 14 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "NIP" if NIP win Map 2 against BetBoom Team. This market will resolve to "BetBoom Team" if BetBoom Team win Map 2 against NIP. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x6e2c…787c2 linked markets · $39.2K gross
0x2c33…05632 linked markets · $36.1K gross
5e46h2 linked markets · $32.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: NO UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $280 → $22 · 2s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$34.4K
6h−$32.6K
24h−$32.6K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h72.2¢▲ above by 27.8pp
VWAP 7d72.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$56.0K
90¢
$0
85¢
$16
80¢
$6.0K
75¢
$7.7K
70¢
$13.5K
65¢
$4.7K
60¢
$7.9K
55¢
$8.9K
50¢
$7.5K
45¢
$11.1K
40¢
$8.3K
35¢
$16.5K
30¢
$2.2K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLNIP (YES)$28.4K@ 99.9¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x0063…2dd2NIP$14.1K
BUY VWAP 72.1¢·9 fills
0x6e2c…787cBetBoom Team$12.8K
BUY VWAP 44.3¢·12 fills
0x6e2c…787cNIP$10.8K
BUY VWAP 54.1¢·9 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.