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Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)

Sports→Settlement: TheMongolzLiquidity: $176.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $93.5KEvent: Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D
0.0¢
Natus Vincere payout
100.0¢
TheMongolz payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTheMongolz$12.0K@ 57¢·0xf559…f462

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome TheMongolz. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-15 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere wins 2 or more maps than TheMongolz in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "TheMongolz".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between TheMongolz and Natus Vincere in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for August 15 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere wins 2 or more maps than TheMongolz in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "TheMongolz". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Natus Vincere; negative values favor TheMongolz. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNatus Vincere · $0
6hNatus Vincere · $9.5K
24hTheMongolz · $1.2K

Natus Vincere price VWAP

Volume-weighted Natus Vincere price. TheMongolz fills are converted to the complementary Natus Vincere probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h44.6¢▼ below by 44.6pp
VWAP 7d45.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Natus Vincere price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$2.3K
70¢
$2.6K
65¢
$10
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$11.8K
40¢
$16.1K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$3.0K

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTheMongolz$12.0K@ 57.0¢0xf559…f462🐋—11 days ago
BUYTheMongolz$10.7K@ 54.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—12 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.