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Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $144.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $380.9KEvent: Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
38.5¢
Aurora Gaming
61.5¢
G2
2.8¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection16Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets41Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution95Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority58Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 14 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:222 trades$160.9K trackedsource coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Aurora Gaming · $35.6K net·14 wallets(1🐋)·$94.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAurora Gaming$10.4K@ 98¢·5e46h

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Aurora Gaming SETUP
What the tape says

Aurora Gaming pressure: $25.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$25.7K
6h
+$46.0K
tracked
$160.9K

14 verified profitable wallets: Aurora Gaming · $35.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.8¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 85% · priority 58

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Aurora Gaming or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-26 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 2 against G2.

•This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 win Map 2 against Aurora Gaming.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Aurora Gaming and G2 in the BLAST Open Porto Group A, initially scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 2 against G2. This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 win Map 2 against Aurora Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 26, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
1111111111152 linked markets · $63.1K gross
TommyLeePeeca2 linked markets · $42.7K gross
0x1610…ae493 linked markets · $31.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Aurora Gaming DOWN 3.5pp · near-book depth $8.7K → $995 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Aurora Gaming; negative values favor G2. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAurora Gaming · $25.7K
6hAurora Gaming · $46.0K
24hAurora Gaming · $46.0K

Aurora Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted Aurora Gaming price. G2 fills are converted to the complementary Aurora Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current38.5¢
VWAP 24h69.7¢▼ below by 31.2pp
VWAP 7d69.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Aurora Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$20.7K
90¢
$18.5K
85¢
$2.6K
80¢
$5.9K
75¢
$4.9K
70¢
$12.5K
65¢
$8.1K
60¢
$12.5K
55¢
$50.7K
50¢
$14.6K
45¢
$9.8K
40¢
$0
35¢
← now
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAurora Gaming$10.4K@ 98.0¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋—14 minutes ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fAurora Gaming$17.0K
BUY VWAP 65.9¢·16 fills
TommyLeePeecaAurora Gaming$14.7K
BUY VWAP 83.7¢·7 fills
5e46hAurora Gaming$10.4K
BUY VWAP 98.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.