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Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner

● quote 36 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $1.1MOfficial 24h Vol: $831.4KEvent: Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection29Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets23Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 71%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:292 trades$206.7K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 25%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 60 min agoofficial metadata 37 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMOUZ (NO)$12.5K@ 63¢·0x1610…ae49

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$60.9K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$60.9K
6h
+$62.4K
tracked
$206.7K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$5.8K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 71% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 36 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 60 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 37 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-14 19:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between FUT Esports and MOUZ in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for August 14 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win Map 2 against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 2 against FUT Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x1610…ae492 linked markets · $152.5K gross
0x6e2c…787c3 linked markets · $54.0K gross
0x0063…2dd23 linked markets · $45.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: NO UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $6.1K → $1.2K · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$60.9K
6h+$62.4K
24h+$62.4K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h34.9¢▼ below by 34.8pp
VWAP 7d34.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$3.7K
75¢
$4.6K
70¢
$7.9K
65¢
$21.9K
60¢
$7.3K
55¢
$9.0K
50¢
$11.3K
45¢
$6.1K
40¢
$12.7K
35¢
$30.8K
30¢
$24.3K
25¢
$3.4K
20¢
$2.1K
15¢
$1.1K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$80.4K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLMOUZ (NO)$14.6K@ 99.9¢0xa69d…509b🐋—14 minutes ago
SELLMOUZ (NO)$11.1K@ 99.9¢0xf377…4159🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMOUZ (NO)$11.0K@ 66.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYMOUZ (NO)$12.5K@ 63.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x1610…ae49MOUZ$23.5K
BUY VWAP 64.4¢·2 fills
0x6e2c…787cFUT Esports$10.5K
BUY VWAP 62.4¢·12 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.