Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner

● quote 34 min ago
SportsCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $617.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $600.9KEvent: Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C
0.1¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets10Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 72%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:154 trades$174.0K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 29%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 57 min agoofficial metadata 29 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLVitality (NO)$36.0K@ 100¢·5e46h

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$5
6h
+$43.1K
tracked
$174.0K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$16.4K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 72% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 34 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 57 minutes old.
  • Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-14 19:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between B8 and Vitality in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for August 14 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "B8" if B8 win Map 1 against Vitality. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win Map 1 against B8. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
5e46h2 linked markets · $73.0K gross
0x0063…2dd23 linked markets · $35.3K gross
0x10d7…bbf63 linked markets · $27.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: NO UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $39.3K$2.1K · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$5
6h+$43.1K
24h+$43.1K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h16.0¢▼ below by 15.9pp
VWAP 7d16.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$3.3K
80¢
$0
75¢
$1.4K
70¢
$4.1K
65¢
$2.0K
60¢
$1.7K
55¢
$3.9K
50¢
$8.9K
45¢
$3.5K
40¢
$2.5K
35¢
$222
30¢
$1.8K
25¢
$15.0K
20¢
$13.5K
15¢
$3.3K
10¢
$1.1K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$106.4K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLVitality (NO)$10.7K@ 99.9¢0x4572…83ff🐋about 3 hours ago
SELLVitality (NO)$36.0K@ 99.9¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋about 3 hours ago
BUYVitality (NO)$18.4K@ 98.0¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C
100.0¢$810.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner
100.0¢$478.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)
0.1¢$131.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
100.0¢$1.9Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C
100.0¢$1.7Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
26.5¢$867.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner
0.1¢$831.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$423.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

5e46hVitality$19.6K
BUY VWAP 98.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.