LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winner

● quote 36 min ago
SportsCloses: 39 minutesLiquidity: $350.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $155.6KEvent: LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group
100.0¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 55%
24h sample:59 trades$32.7K trackedsource coverage 21%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 122 min agoofficial metadata 38 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLHANJIN BRION Challengers (YES)$5.1K@ 100¢·0x0b89…a4cd

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$289
tracked
$32.7K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 55% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 36 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 122 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 38 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-20 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between HANJIN BRION Challengers and Kiwoom DRX Challengers in the LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION Challengers" if HANJIN BRION Challengers win Game 2 against Kiwoom DRX Challengers. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom DRX Challengers" if Kiwoom DRX Challengers win Game 2 against HANJIN BRION Challengers. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 20, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x0b89…a4cd2 linked markets · $49.1K gross
0xce7d…898e3 linked markets · $9.9K gross
0x9e3e…f8822 linked markets · $9.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES UP 9.5pp · near-book depth $110$1.4K · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$0
6h+$289
24h$1.2K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h81.4¢▲ above by 18.5pp
VWAP 7d81.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$18.8K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$2.8K
75¢
$4.9K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$3
55¢
$171
50¢
$115
45¢
$502
40¢
$0
35¢
$273
30¢
$3.8K
25¢
$1.4K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.