PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group

● quote 31 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $168.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $253.3KEvent: LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group
100.0¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection29Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution98Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 81%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:235 trades$72.4K trackedsource coverage 26%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 36 min agoofficial metadata 33 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNongshim Esports Academy (YES)$13.3K@ 98¢·hd777

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$18.8K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$18.8K
6h
+$14.0K
tracked
$72.4K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$5.3K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 81% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 31 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 36 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 33 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-21 11:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Nongshim Esports Academy and T1 Academy in the LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nongshim Esports Academy" if Nongshim Esports Academy win the match against T1 Academy. This market will resolve to "T1 Academy" if T1 Academy win the match against Nongshim Esports Academy. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 21, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Sisyphus.2 linked markets · $10.9K gross
johnbaster3 linked markets · $9.7K gross
0x124a…37413 linked markets · $4.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: NO DOWN 7.5pp · near-book depth $8 → $236 · 10s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$18.8K
6h+$14.0K
24h+$1.5K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h57.9¢▲ above by 42.0pp
VWAP 7d57.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$35.7K
90¢
$4.5K
85¢
$286
80¢
$3.0K
75¢
$510
70¢
$129
65¢
$0
60¢
$200
55¢
$4.4K
50¢
$3.0K
45¢
$122
40¢
$9.9K
35¢
$11.8K
30¢
$14.1K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYNongshim Esports Academy (YES)$13.3K@ 97.8¢
hd7770x986b…bdc6
🐋—37 minutes ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$150.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$91.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner
0.5¢$2.3Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs
37.5¢$1.1Mpriority59Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs
28.5¢$1.0Mpriority63Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$426.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.4¢$369.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

hd777Nongshim Esports Academy$13.3K
BUY VWAP 97.8¢·1 fill
MeiGuNiuBiT1 Academy$13.2K
BUY VWAP 65.9¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.