PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Liverpool FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $82.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $175.8KEvent: Liverpool FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC - More Markets
99.5¢
Over
0.5¢
Under
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection8Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets25Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution90Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority50Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:54 trades$70.7K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Under · $6.1K net·4 wallets·$24.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYUnder$15.2K@ 60¢·bluemario

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Over pressure: $5.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$5.3K
6h
−$25.5K
tracked
$70.7K

4 verified profitable wallets: Under · $6.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 50

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Over or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-29 11:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.premierleague.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if Liverpool FC and Nottingham Forest FC combine to score 4 or more goals in this game.

•If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming Premier League game between Liverpool FC and Nottingham Forest FC, scheduled for August 29 at 7:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Liverpool FC and Nottingham Forest FC combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
NiNo9992 linked markets · $57.3K gross
Flaznorp5 linked markets · $49.0K gross
UpTheBlues6 linked markets · $45.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Under DOWN 20.0pp · near-book depth $2.6K → $47 · 6s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOver · $5.3K
6hUnder · $25.5K
24hUnder · $18.9K

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.5¢
VWAP 24h43.0¢▲ above by 56.5pp
VWAP 7d43.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$2.3K
60¢
$9.9K
55¢
$2.9K
50¢
$0
45¢
$688
40¢
$38.7K
35¢
$8.3K
30¢
$5.3K
25¢
$216
20¢
$2.4K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYUnder$15.2K@ 60.0¢
bluemario0x34a1…7622
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
100.0¢$2.4Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
53.0¢$1.8Mpriority44Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winner
100.0¢$1.6Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner
100.0¢$1.0Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner
100.0¢$810.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)
100.0¢$748.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-29?
55.5¢$482.7Kpriority79Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$425.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

bluemarioUnder$15.9K
BUY VWAP 59.8¢·2 fills
UpTheBluesUnder$15.5K
BUY VWAP 54.2¢·6 fills
kkookkooOver$11.3K
BUY VWAP 60.1¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.