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LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $221.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $704.1KEvent: LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
79.0¢
T1
21.0¢
BNK FEARX
1.8¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection24Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets29Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution90Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority56Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 30 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:330 trades$325.4K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:T1 · $33.1K net·30 wallets(1🐋)·$124.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYT1$24.8K@ 99¢·254321758

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW T1 SETUP
What the tape says

T1 pressure: $78.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$78.4K
6h
+$80.3K
tracked
$325.4K

30 verified profitable wallets: T1 · $33.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.8¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 86% · priority 56

Since latest market sweep: -19.1pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from T1 or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-29 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win Game 4 against BNK FEARX.

•This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win Game 4 against T1.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between T1 and BNK FEARX in the LCK Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win Game 4 against BNK FEARX. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win Game 4 against T1. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 29, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xf201…527e5 linked markets · $196.2K gross
0x7A3f9C2D8b41E6a570F2c93B1d4E8A6 linked markets · $190.0K gross
2543217584 linked markets · $181.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY T1@ 99.0¢8m ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: BNK FEARX DOWN 4.4pp · near-book depth $2 → $606 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor T1; negative values favor BNK FEARX. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hT1 · $78.4K
6hT1 · $80.3K
24hT1 · $80.3K

T1 price VWAP

Volume-weighted T1 price. BNK FEARX fills are converted to the complementary T1 probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current79.0¢
VWAP 24h69.0¢▲ above by 10.0pp
VWAP 7d69.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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T1 price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$48.6K
90¢
$17.9K
85¢
$0
80¢
$3.4K
75¢
← now
$11.8K
70¢
$31.6K
65¢
$67.7K
60¢
$73.6K
55¢
$22.6K
50¢
$5.5K
45¢
$13.8K
40¢
$22.8K
35¢
$6.1K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYT1$24.8K@ 99.0¢
2543217580x04b1…d224
🐋—8 minutes ago
BUYT1$13.3K@ 56.0¢0xf201…527e🐋—36 minutes ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

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LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
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Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)
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Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)
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Games Total: O/U 4.5
84.8¢$89.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
34.0¢$1.3Mpriority55Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$949.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

254321758T1$29.7K
BUY VWAP 98.8¢·2 fills
0xf201…527eT1$22.9K
BUY VWAP 58.1¢·5 fills
fkgggg2mouzfuriaBNK FEARX$17.1K
BUY VWAP 34.5¢·4 fills
fkcvffcjtBNK FEARX$10.8K
BUY VWAP 35.2¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.