Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner

● quote 65 min ago
SportsCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $196.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.2MEvent: Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs
11.5¢
YES
88.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection21Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority65Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 88%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:217 trades$653.1K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 52%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 72 min agoofficial metadata 68 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$110.0K·2 wallets(2🐋)·$110.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Yandex (NO)$110.6K@ 47¢·Djdjdjekekek

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$132.3K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$132.3K
6h
−$127.8K
tracked
$653.1K

2 verified profitable wallets: +$110.0K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 88% · priority 65

Since latest large flow: -42.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Executable quote is 65 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 72 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 68 minutes old.
  • Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-20 16:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Team Liquid and Team Yandex in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 2 against Team Yandex. This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win Game 2 against Team Liquid. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 20, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Djdjdjekekek3 linked markets · $747.3K gross
1111111111153 linked markets · $152.7K gross
0x2c33…05633 linked markets · $129.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Team Liquid@ 54.0¢1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Team Yandex@ 45.0¢1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Team Yandex@ 47.0¢1h ago
Outcome checks pending
POSITION CHANGEBUY Team Yandex@ 50.0¢1h ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: NO UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $283$4.4K · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$132.3K
6h$127.8K
24h$127.8K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current11.5¢
VWAP 24h52.4¢▼ below by 40.9pp
VWAP 7d52.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$21.7K
50¢
$460.2K
45¢
$14.3K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
← now
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYTeam Liquid (YES)$30.0K@ 50.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Yandex (NO)$33.3K@ 50.0¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Liquid (YES)$10.0K@ 51.2¢0xe16d…5e30🐋about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Yandex (NO)$13.2K@ 48.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYTeam Liquid (YES)$55.7K@ 53.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYTeam Yandex (NO)$15.7K@ 47.0¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYTeam Liquid (YES)$16.1K@ 53.0¢
zb80x0224…292a
🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYTeam Yandex (NO)$25.8K@ 47.0¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYTeam Yandex (NO)$110.6K@ 47.0¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYTeam Yandex (NO)$25.5K@ 47.0¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYTeam Liquid (YES)$10.0K@ 55.0¢0xe16d…5e30🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYTeam Yandex (NO)$22.9K@ 45.8¢0xec98…afcd🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYTeam Yandex (NO)$10.2K@ 48.5¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

DjdjdjekekekTeam Yandex$222.4K
BUY VWAP 47.4¢·7 fills
0x2c33…0563Team Liquid$55.7K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·1 fill
0xe16d…5e30Team Liquid$30.0K
BUY VWAP 52.5¢·5 fills
111111111115Team Liquid$30.0K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill
111111111115Team Yandex$23.4K
BUY VWAP 48.2¢·2 fills
0xec98…afcdTeam Yandex$22.9K
BUY VWAP 45.8¢·1 fill
zb8Team Liquid$16.1K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·1 fill
Sunshine.SmileTeam Yandex$12.6K
BUY VWAP 50.1¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.