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Seahawks vs. Commanders

● quote 11s ago
Sports→Closes: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $1.1MOfficial 24h Vol: $408.9KEvent: Seahawks vs. Commanders
77.5¢
Seahawks
22.5¢
Commanders
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 65%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:40 trades$242.5K tracked18% 🐋source coverage 59%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 63 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Commanders · $34.1K net·5 wallets(1🐋)·$45.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSeahawks$105.3K@ 78¢·nuttypoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$145.7K
tracked
$242.5K

5 verified profitable wallets: Commanders · $34.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 65% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 63 minutes old.
  • •Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-27 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If Seahawks wins, the market will resolve to "Seahawks".

•If Commanders wins, the market will resolve to "Commanders".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 27 at 1:00PM ET: If Seahawks wins, the market will resolve to "Seahawks". If Commanders wins, the market will resolve to "Commanders". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard4 linked markets · $46.3K gross
Herdonia3 linked markets · $31.8K gross
VeryLucky8882 linked markets · $21.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Seahawks@ 77.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Seahawks@ 78.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Seahawks; negative values favor Commanders. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSeahawks · $0
6hSeahawks · $145.7K
24hSeahawks · $160.1K

Seahawks price VWAP

Volume-weighted Seahawks price. Commanders fills are converted to the complementary Seahawks probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current77.5¢
VWAP 24h77.5¢▲ above by 0.0pp
VWAP 7d77.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Seahawks price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
← now
$248.4K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSeahawks$18.8K@ 77.0¢
wigglew0xc96e…f1f9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYSeahawks$10.6K@ 77.0¢
edge77770xdf60…08c7
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYSeahawks$11.8K@ 77.0¢
sifonman0x6ac9…e85a
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYSeahawks$10.6K@ 77.0¢
sifonman0x6ac9…e85a
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYSeahawks$10.6K@ 77.0¢
mirotvorets0x7d9d…3c52
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYCommanders$16.2K@ 23.0¢
takeormake0xa38a…821d
🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYSeahawks$105.3K@ 78.0¢
nuttypoo0xa1e6…e1c2
🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

nuttypooSeahawks$105.3K
BUY VWAP 78.0¢·1 fill
sifonmanSeahawks$26.0K
BUY VWAP 77.0¢·3 fills
wigglewSeahawks$18.8K
BUY VWAP 77.0¢·1 fill
takeormakeCommanders$16.2K
BUY VWAP 23.0¢·1 fill
edge7777Seahawks$10.6K
BUY VWAP 77.0¢·1 fill
mirotvoretsSeahawks$10.6K
BUY VWAP 77.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.