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Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins

Sports→Settlement: Miami MarlinsLiquidity: $258.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $158.2KEvent: Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins
0.0¢
Washington Nationals payout
100.0¢
Miami Marlins payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:64 trades$67.9K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 52 min agoofficial metadata 32 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Washington Nationals · $3.6K net·6 wallets·$8.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMiami Marlins$13.5K@ 60¢·0x3dfb…abaf

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Miami Marlins. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-30 17:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Miami Marlins, scheduled for August 23 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Washington Nationals DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $1 → $54 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Washington Nationals; negative values favor Miami Marlins. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMiami Marlins · $10.8K
6hMiami Marlins · $31.6K
24hMiami Marlins · $31.6K

Washington Nationals price VWAP

Volume-weighted Washington Nationals price. Miami Marlins fills are converted to the complementary Washington Nationals probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h23.8¢▼ below by 23.8pp
VWAP 7d23.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Washington Nationals price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$4.6K
40¢
$28.1K
35¢
$1.7K
30¢
$95
25¢
$3.6K
20¢
$15
15¢
$2.5K
10¢
$1.7K
5¢
$7.2K
0¢
← now
$18.5K

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMiami Marlins$10.0K@ 59.8¢
alaskabaked0xaa77…15a5
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMiami Marlins$13.5K@ 60.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x3dfb…abafMiami Marlins$13.5K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·1 fill
alaskabakedMiami Marlins$10.0K
BUY VWAP 59.8¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.