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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $267.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $129.7KEvent: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
14.5¢
Pittsburgh Pirates
85.5¢
Los Angeles Dodgers
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection5Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets6Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 78%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:38 trades$68.7K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 53%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 21 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Pittsburgh Pirates · $341 net·2 wallets·$3.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLos Angeles Dodgers$25.0K@ 72¢·Kosherlocks

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Los Angeles Dodgers pressure: $3.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$3.2K
6h
−$63.5K
tracked
$68.7K

2 verified profitable wallets: Pittsburgh Pirates · $341 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 78% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +11.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 21 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 11.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Los Angeles Dodgers or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-30 20:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for August 23 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
RN12 linked markets · $623 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Los Angeles Dodgers37m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Los Angeles Dodgers@ 75.0¢58m ago
15m CONFIRMED +7.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Los Angeles Dodgers@ 72.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Los Angeles Dodgers DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $2.9K → $51 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Pittsburgh Pirates; negative values favor Los Angeles Dodgers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLos Angeles Dodgers · $3.2K
6hLos Angeles Dodgers · $63.5K
24hLos Angeles Dodgers · $61.5K

Pittsburgh Pirates price VWAP

Volume-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates price. Los Angeles Dodgers fills are converted to the complementary Pittsburgh Pirates probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current14.5¢
VWAP 24h27.6¢▼ below by 13.1pp
VWAP 7d27.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Pittsburgh Pirates price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$65.3K
20¢
$1.5K
15¢
$1.9K
10¢
← now
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLos Angeles Dodgers$25.0K@ 72.0¢
Kosherlocks0x8239…d9a3
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLos Angeles Dodgers$20.0K@ 72.0¢0xf668…5c69🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

KosherlocksLos Angeles Dodgers$25.0K
BUY VWAP 72.0¢·1 fill
0xf668…5c69Los Angeles Dodgers$20.0K
BUY VWAP 72.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.