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Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $452.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $281.9KEvent: Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
0.1¢
Aurora Gaming
100.0¢
G2
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection7Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets12Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:82 trades$93.4K trackedsource coverage 33%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 14 min agoofficial metadata 18s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Aurora Gaming · $3.4K net·12 wallets·$29.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLG2$7.9K@ 100¢·muneyenjayerrr

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Aurora Gaming pressure: $6.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$6.8K
6h
+$17.3K
tracked
$93.4K

12 verified profitable wallets: Aurora Gaming · $3.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 14 minutes old.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Aurora Gaming or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-26 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 1 against G2.

•This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 win Map 1 against Aurora Gaming.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Aurora Gaming and G2 in the BLAST Open Porto Group A, initially scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 1 against G2. This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 win Map 1 against Aurora Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 26, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
1111111111152 linked markets · $63.1K gross
TommyLeePeeca2 linked markets · $49.1K gross
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f3 linked markets · $31.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: G2 UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $5.5K → $6.6K · 10s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Aurora Gaming; negative values favor G2. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAurora Gaming · $6.8K
6hAurora Gaming · $17.3K
24hAurora Gaming · $18.8K

Aurora Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted Aurora Gaming price. G2 fills are converted to the complementary Aurora Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h18.3¢▼ below by 18.3pp
VWAP 7d18.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Aurora Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$23.3K
40¢
$10.2K
35¢
$954
30¢
$41
25¢
$24
20¢
$3.0K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$2.5K
0¢
← now
$53.5K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.