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Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 35 minutesLiquidity: $430.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $418.1KEvent: Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
100.0¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:124 trades$126.5K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 30%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 22 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFUT Esports (YES)$10.0K@ 94¢·0x95c2…421b

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$5.5K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$5.5K
6h
−$17.5K
tracked
$126.5K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$2.5K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -52.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 22 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-21 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between FUT Esports and MOUZ in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win Map 2 against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 2 against FUT Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 21, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x1610…ae493 linked markets · $133.8K gross
5e46h2 linked markets · $88.7K gross
0x6e2c…787c3 linked markets · $41.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY MOUZ@ 53.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -14.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: YES UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $19.4K → $5.3K · 14s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$5.5K
6h−$17.5K
24h−$17.5K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h69.5¢▲ above by 30.5pp
VWAP 7d69.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$23.5K
90¢
$12.2K
85¢
$0
80¢
$2.3K
75¢
$4.2K
70¢
$19.8K
65¢
$6.2K
60¢
$3.1K
55¢
$2.8K
50¢
$14.6K
45¢
$37.9K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYFUT Esports (YES)$10.0K@ 94.0¢0x95c2…421b🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
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LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$1.1Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
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LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x1610…ae49MOUZ$35.0K
BUY VWAP 37.8¢·6 fills
0x95c2…421bFUT Esports$10.0K
BUY VWAP 94.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.