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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $556.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $3.4MEvent: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants
50.5¢
Arizona Diamondbacks payout
49.5¢
San Francisco Giants payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:331 trades$1.6M tracked9% 🐋source coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 22 min agoofficial metadata 6 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Arizona Diamondbacks · $419.7K net·16 wallets(5🐋)·$813.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSan Francisco Giants$225.3K@ 56¢·mentionmarket

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-04 01:45 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game.

•This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for August 27 at 9:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 6m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 6m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY San Francisco Giants2h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY San Francisco Giants2h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY San Francisco Giants2h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY San Francisco Giants2h ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: San Francisco Giants UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $28.7K → $792 · 10s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Arizona Diamondbacks; negative values favor San Francisco Giants. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSan Francisco Giants · $21.3K
6hSan Francisco Giants · $167.0K
24hSan Francisco Giants · $112.8K

Arizona Diamondbacks price VWAP

Volume-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks price. San Francisco Giants fills are converted to the complementary Arizona Diamondbacks probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current50.5¢
VWAP 24h49.9¢▲ above by 0.6pp
VWAP 7d49.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Arizona Diamondbacks price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$114
60¢
$16.2K
55¢
$794.1K
50¢
← now
$223.0K
45¢
$10.9K
40¢
$488.3K
35¢
$1.1K
30¢
$4.3K
25¢
$2.5K
20¢
$15.5K
15¢
$577
10¢
$5.2K
5¢
$356
0¢
$45.2K

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLSan Francisco Giants$14.1K@ 99.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—24 minutes ago
BUYSan Francisco Giants$20.7K@ 99.8¢
Sisyphus.0xfc25…1f7f
🐋—31 minutes ago
BUYSan Francisco Giants$14.0K@ 76.0¢
kotik70xea6a…ab5a
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYSan Francisco Giants$76.5K@ 45.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYSan Francisco Giants$23.0K@ 45.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYArizona Diamondbacks$168.0K@ 56.0¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYSan Francisco Giants$66.9K@ 45.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYArizona Diamondbacks$26.8K@ 54.8¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYArizona Diamondbacks$27.7K@ 55.0¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYArizona Diamondbacks$27.6K@ 55.0¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYArizona Diamondbacks$27.7K@ 56.5¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYSan Francisco Giants$15.0K@ 44.0¢
ethBELIVER0x05f6…25a1
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYArizona Diamondbacks$19.5K@ 55.7¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYSan Francisco Giants$205.0K@ 41.0¢
mentionmarket0xc3ac…b964
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYArizona Diamondbacks$12.8K@ 59.0¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYArizona Diamondbacks$11.1K@ 58.0¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYArizona Diamondbacks$32.3K@ 58.0¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYArizona Diamondbacks$15.9K@ 43.0¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYSan Francisco Giants$225.3K@ 56.0¢
mentionmarket0xc3ac…b964
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYArizona Diamondbacks$40.6K@ 43.1¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYArizona Diamondbacks$13.5K@ 42.8¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYArizona Diamondbacks$16.2K@ 42.8¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYSan Francisco Giants$14.3K@ 57.0¢
iDARKenjoyer0xf68a…5b1b
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYArizona Diamondbacks$35.1K@ 42.5¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYArizona Diamondbacks$38.0K@ 42.8¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYArizona Diamondbacks$23.1K@ 41.9¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYSan Francisco Giants$14.6K@ 48.0¢
laozishudaosan0xa084…bb99
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYArizona Diamondbacks$24.4K@ 53.9¢
Winnerdinnerchickenjr0x408f…b2f4
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYArizona Diamondbacks$20.0K@ 53.0¢
NiNo9990xcd65…ee96
🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYSan Francisco Giants$21.6K@ 48.0¢0xe0ac…de2a🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYArizona Diamondbacks$11.8K@ 51.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 6 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

DjdjdjekekekArizona Diamondbacks$595.7K
BUY VWAP 50.8¢·25 fills
mentionmarketSan Francisco Giants$430.3K
BUY VWAP 47.7¢·2 fills
0x2c33…0563San Francisco Giants$76.5K
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·1 fill
ethanazSan Francisco Giants$66.9K
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·1 fill
0x076d…8d4cSan Francisco Giants$28.0K
BUY VWAP 45.9¢·4 fills
WinnerdinnerchickenjrArizona Diamondbacks$24.4K
BUY VWAP 53.9¢·1 fill
ethBELIVERSan Francisco Giants$23.5K
BUY VWAP 42.9¢·2 fills
ferrariChampions2026San Francisco Giants$23.0K
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·1 fill
iDARKenjoyerSan Francisco Giants$22.8K
BUY VWAP 57.0¢·2 fills
0xe0ac…de2aSan Francisco Giants$21.6K
BUY VWAP 48.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.